ETFs vs FUTURES


 

 

EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS

When are Futures Better?

Many investors wanting to participate in commodity markets such as gold, silver, crude oil and even the broad equity or bond market do so with exchange-traded funds, or ETFs. An ETF represents ownership in a unit investment trust or fund that is based upon a basket of commodities, securities or other assets. ETFs are traded on a regulated exchange and through a stock brokerage account much like individual stocks. Using market and limit orders, shorting, and buying on margin can be done with ETF shares in the same manner as with a stock.

The primary benefit of an ETF is diversification: with the simple purchase of an ETF share, the investor can immediately gain exposure to a particular commodity or to a wide range of securities or other investable assets without having to acquire each separately and all within the same stock brokerage account. As such, ETFs are an efficient tool to manage the overall asset allocation of an investment portfolio.

Exposure to these commodity markets, including the broad financial markets, has been traditionally available through exchange-traded commodity and financial futures contracts and, while an investor who has a stock brokerage account may find it convenient to rely on ETFs for this exposure, whether or not an ETF represents the better investment choice over a corresponding futures will depend upon several criteria.

Trading Horizon

ETFs become less efficient vehicles when the trading horizon is short, for example, less than one year. In addition to taxation issues, trading costs in terms of the brokerage commission and the bid-ask spread can become significant relative to the profit or loss realized on an ETF trade over a short time period. Depending upon liquidity, some ETFs may have a fairly wide bid-ask spread and it may even be difficult to execute trades quickly.

Futures are better designed for short-term trading, even day trading, not only because of their liquidity but because of their high leverage that amplifies the gain or loss associated with a market price movement. Consequently, even though brokerage and/or other types of trading fees are incurred when trading futures, they are typically small in relation to the resulting profit or loss on a trade. With regard to taxation, net capital gains on a futures trade, even when held for a short period, benefit from the automatic 60/40 rule.

ETFs are, in general, better designed for long-term trades than a futures position. Apart from taxation issues, a futures position needs to be continuously rolled from one contract to the next, incurring a commission expense, as each expires in turn.

Desired Exposure

Certainly, an ETF will be the logical, and only choice, when it provides exposure to an area that has no counterpart in the futures market or any other market, for example, style-based ETFs that focus on growth, value or capitalization, or theme-based ETFs such as those aimed at green or socially responsible investors.

However, when an ETF is based on essentially the same commodity or index as a futures contract, then the futures will often be the better choice as it does not have the tracking error typical of ETFs. This is especially true of index futures since the futures contract by definition settles at expiration to the index value. There will, though, be a minor deviation between the futures and the index owing to changes in the basis.

ETFs that gain exposure to commodities by investing in futures contracts can sometimes have distorted returns relative to the price movement of the commodity itself as a consequence of the price differential operating during contract rolls. In particular, large gaps in price from one contract that is expiring to the subsequent contract introduce risk and volatility in the ETF performance, potentially driving it further from the performance of the underlying market. In this case, the investor may prefer to hold the futures contracts directly, instead of the ETF, and exercise personal control over contract rolls.

Options Availability

Many futures have a relatively liquid option market counterpart enabling the construction of a variety of futures and options-related trading strategies, including important hedging strategies. Options on ETFs, in contrast, are usually traded very thinly if at all.

Available Capital

A minimum amount of cash is needed to buy or sell a futures contract in order to meet the margin requirement and this can be expensive depending upon the contract market. As well, if prices move adversely, the customer will be required to have cash in the futures trading account sufficient to cover any loss on a day-to-day basis in addition to covering the required margin.

In contrast, there is no minimum purchase requirement for an ETF, other than the cost of one share. However, commission which is typically charged on a transaction basis can become a significant expense for those who buy ETFs frequently and in small amounts, unless commissions are reduced or waived as part of a broker promotion. If not, it would be better to buy ETFs less frequently but in larger quantity.

Beyond this, there is a minimum cash deposit required to open a trading account, whether for trading ETFs or futures (some firms allow trading of both within the same account) and this may lie outside the reach of those with limited trading capital. These individuals may want to consider an alternative market that is more accessible, namely, binary options. For more information, please see our Binary Options trading site.

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The Sky's the Limit. While ETFs have been around since the early 1990s, their popularity has soared in recent years. By some measures, over 1,500 different ETFs were available as of the end of 2011 and more are being registered every month. The majority of ETFs track established indices such as the S&P 500 or Dow Jones Industrial Average, though the universe of ETFs has expanded substantially to include international equity indices, emerging market indices and narrowly-defined indices related to specific industries or sectors, real-estate, commodities and even foreign currencies. There are even theme-based ETFs such as those aimed at green or socially responsible investors.


 


Tracking Error. An index-based ETF attempts to replicate movements of a defined index, whether in equities, bonds or commodities, and does so by investing in the assets of the index. If the index composition changes frequently and/or if the ETF holds only a representative subset of the assets of the index, sometimes referred to as index optimization, then tracking error can arise that will distort the performance of the ETF relative to the index. This tracking error can at times become a more significant measure of cost than the expense ratio of an ETF. In addition, deviations can also arise between the share value of an ETF and its net asset value. The more difficult it is to arbitrage the ETF with its underlying basket of assets because of say, supply/liquidity issues or transaction costs, the larger and more persistent can be the deviation of the ETF share price from its net asset value.


 

ETFs vs Mutual Funds
Buying and Selling Transactions
Order Flexibility and Control
Cost: Expense Ratios
Investment Minimum Requirements
Distribution of Taxable Capital Gains
Tracking Underlying Value
Transparency of Positions
Complexity and Variability


 

Binary options on the FTSE 100
Binary Options Trading. Those looking to trade a commodity or equity index on a short-term basis and who have limited risk capital can consider binary options. With binary options, a trade can be established with as little as $50 and that is the most that can be lost. See our Binary Options site for more information.

Binary options on the Nasdaq

Recommended Reading...

Exchange Traded Funds Exchange Traded Funds and E-Mini Stock Index Futures Getting Started in Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) The ETF Book: All You Need to Know About Exchange-Traded Funds, Updated Edition

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Keywords: ETFs vs futures, ETFs and futures, comparing ETFs and futures
Abstract: A look at when commodity or index futures may be the better choice over Exchange-Traded Funds or ETFs.